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Joe Biden, the 80 year old President of the United States, has accomplished a lot since taking office. Last year, the Democrats performed strongly in the midterm elections, and Biden is currently considering running for re-election in 2024.
Biden has not made any official announcement, but polls show that a majority of Americans do not want him to stand again. However, in November, the Democrats did better than expected in the midterms, suggesting that Biden's unpopularity might not be such an issue.
The outcome of the midterms reinforced the view of many experts - including veteran liberal political operative David Brock - that Biden will run again. When asked directly, he replied “watch me”, a possible indication of his intentions.
Analysts have suggested that a number of factors could influence Biden's decision, such as the economy, his health, and international affairs. Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, believes that Biden is likely to stand again because he spent so many years trying to win the presidency and finally succeeded.
Progressives have expressed their unease with Biden, suggesting that he is a brake on the changes they are trying to implement and that he is too cautious with his policy agenda. For this reason, some have started a campaign called “Don’t Run Joe”, which includes a petition and television ads encouraging Biden to step aside.
The Republicans are likely to do everything they can to undercut and frustrate Biden over the next two years. This could involve using the House's powers of investigation to raise questions about the White House's Afghan pullout and the business dealings of the president's son, Hunter Biden.
Should Biden decide not to stand for re-election, there are numerous possible Democratic candidates who could succeed him, such as Vice President Kamala Harris, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Senator Bernie Sanders, and several state governors.
According to Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg, Biden stands a good chance of winning the nomination if he chooses to run again. He believes that a “very vigorous” primary could occur if Biden rules out a second term, and that the Democrats will still be more likely to win in 2024 no matter who the candidate is.